Sunday, March 10, 2024

2023 recalibration of Limits to Growth World3 model

The paper is available here: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jiec.13442 [archive]

 

The famous chart

The following table is extracted from the supporting data:


Variable LtG BAU
peak
Recalibration23
peak
Industrial Output 2018 (2.62T) 2020 (2.60T)
Population 2028 (7.65B) 2033 (8.16B)
Food Production 2017 (3.15T) 2023 (3.71T)
Persistent Pollution 2039 (11.1T) 2088 (13.9T)



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