Kako se mijenjaju radna mjesta u Anthropicu

 📊 Novi report Anthropica (od prošlog petka) daje uvid kako izgleda AI-native poslovanje:

✅ AI agenti odrađuju 6x više radnih sati od ljudi koji njima upravljaju.
✅ Inženjeri proizvode 5x više koda nego prije šest mjeseci.
✅ Udio juniora u novim zapošljavanjima je pao s 27% na 9%, iako broj zaposlenih u Anthropicu nastavlja rasti.
✅ Claude 80% vremena čeka da čovjek odgovori, tj. ljudi su i dalje usko grlo.

Ne znam za vas, osobno mi je i dalje draži staromodni razvoj softvera nego promptanje, ili - kako se to danas sofisticirano naziva - orkestracija AI agenata. Kroz sam proces implementacije pomiču se i vlastite granice: razvija se razumijevanje arhitekture, performansi i kompromisa unutar sustava. S druge strane, s obzirom na usko grlo koje se spominje u reportu, vjerujem da će kroz sljedećih 6-12 mjeseci i orkestraciju obavljati AI.

Vezano uz argument da bi mogao proizvoditi 5x više koda koristeći AI, i bez AI-a mogu proizvoditi više koda nego što sam ga sposoban unovčiti. 😢 Zaključak temeljen na par desetljeća iskustva. Problem su distribucija i pronalaženje korisnika.

Na svijetu je oko 50 miliona developera. Ako svi mogu proizvoditi 5x više koda, tko će koristiti sav taj softver? I kako će to utjecati na njegovu tržišnu vrijednost? Ništa manje bitno - korisnici, koji imaju i 'domain knowledge', sve su manje ovisni o developerima i sve su sposobniji sami izraditi rješenja za vlastite probleme.

Link na report:
https://www.anthropic.com/research/employment-at-anthropic

2026.10.22

Nedugo nakon objave mog posta na Fejsbuku, dobio sam jedan zabavni komentar. OK, bilo je više zabavnih komentara, ali samo je ovaj zaslužio odgovor ...

Moj odgovor, pejstam ga ovdje zbog budućeg referenciranja:

Jako zabavan spin u kojem se (između ostaloga) intelektualni rad izjednačava sa fizičkim obrtima. Ali, definitivno si na tragu nečemu! Ovaj pogled otvara razna pitanja ...

 

Kvaliteta proizvoda: serijska industrijska proizvodnja nije nadmašila kvalitetu ručnog rada u nizu područja - od glazbenih instrumenata, odjeće, šešira, cipela, namještaja ... da ne nabrajam dalje. Ipak stari majstori bolje razumiju materijal, alate i kompromise. Za široke narodne mase, tu su jeftini i zamjenjivi proizvodi iz serijske proizvodnje. Očekuje li ista paradigma i razvoj softvera?

 

Cijena proizvoda: super mi je onaj dio u kojem se ponavlja pitanje kako će promjene utjecati na tržišnu vrijednost proizvoda, pogotovo zato što je odgovor općepoznat. Dakle - softver po cijeni potkove? 

 

Ostalo su promašene analogije a ono zadnje o prolaznom trendu je van konteksta. Nisam siguran na temelju čega je AI zaključio dodati to u odgovor koji ti je sastavio; to uopće nije bilo rečeno, niti je to moje mišljenje - moram ipak naglasiti. U svakom slučaju - nice try!

Summer of 2026 swimming

The #summer of 2026 has ended, as has my #swimming season, which lasted from June 13 to October 3. To sum it up, I swam:

4 × 0.5 km
8 × 1.2 km
51 × 2.5 km

This totals 139.1 km for this year, bringing my overall distance to 972.6 km since 2021. My imaginary trip has finally taken me out of the Adriatic and into the Ionian Sea. I will be resting on the shores of Corfu Island until next season. I was thinking swimming back to Italy, but upon further reflection, I haven't made up my mind about whether to exit the Mediterranean through the Strait of Gibraltar or the Suez Canal. Any insightful comments on that would be appreciated!

Distances in kilometers by year:

2021    200
2022    182.5 
2023    180
2024    134.5
2025    135.6
2026    139.1

 

Another android dev rant

Developing for android is either it's like trying to hit a moving target as the platform is constantly changing, or it's like being on an abandoned ship as the proper docs are absurdly missing. 6+ years since the issue was reported, and we are still supposed to guess that MaterialDatePicker uses UTC timezone.

OI Shopping List for Android: how to save data and transfer it to a new phone

For years I relied on OI Shopping List, little open‑source app that also let me track the prices for groceries that I buy. The app is nothing fancy, nothing bloated, just the essentials: item, unit, price, store. Then, I have decided (actually, I was forced) to replace my phone with a new one. It turned out that OI Shopping List data export is broken, and there are no other sync options. The app was not updated since 2020. My entire carefully curated shopping list with prices was trapped on my old device like a hostage. 

After being desperate for a while,  I tried something I didn’t expect to work: an old‑school ADB backup and restore. Against all odds, it actually transferred my OI Shopping List data from the old phone to the new one. Though with warnings that the method is deprecated and that it might stop working any time.

So run this command while the old phone is connected:
adb backup -f oi_shopping.ab -apk org.openintents.shopping

And this one while the new phone is connected and OI Shopping List installed:
adb restore oi_shopping.ab

Now I’m left with a bittersweet victory. I saved my data, but the app that has it is effectively dead. I also went down the rabbit hole of "modern replacements". Every open‑source shopping list app today is either too simple (no price tracking), too complex (full household inventory systems), or just missing the one feature I actually need. Even if I fork the OI Shopping List or write a new app to suit my preferences, I won't be able to transfer the data that easily. I genuinely reached the point where paper and pen feel like a more reliable technology than Android apps in 2026.

What to do with an old laptop

Posted on LinkedIn (in Croatian language), Twitter, Bluesky and Mastodon.

Your old laptop doesn't belong in the trash or needs to be "recycled". All it needs is a little attention, a screwdriver and €15 for an adapter+SSD from a popular Chinese shopping site. 🛠️

Proof? My first laptop from 2004. Today, it runs the latest Linux Debian and:

• powers the most popular Croatian Reddit bot
• generates daily sequences for my word game (which nobody plays, but I'm not giving up) 
• hosts a proxy server I use to scrape sites that think they can block me
• hosts an RSS aggregator that filters information chaos into something resembling order 
• ... what else could I add? 🤔

The original HDD gave out - it was the only part replaced. The rest of the hardware still works and serves its purpose flawlessly. We write off equipment as useless far too quickly! So this weekend, dust off your "old clunker" and spin up that home server. 😉 Bonus: fewer heavy metals and forever chemicals in the environment.

The most popular Croatian Reddit bot in action

fastfetch

Dead HDD (left) and modern replacement (right)

Version control systems that work on FreeDOS

Since I am into retro, I thought about hobby programming on an old machine that runs FreeDOS. I considered using version control systems, though I don't remember using any about 30 years ago when my main (and only) machine was running MS-DOS. My search led me to the following threads:

• [Freedos-user] Git for DOS?
• [Freedos-user] DOS version control
• Source code control on an MS-DOS system

To conclude: 

• Mercurial can be made to work locally. 
• TLIB is a proprietary version control system still being sold. 
• Free and open-source RCS 5.7 has been patched to work on DOS, another port can be found here. 
• There is also Prism, and 
• CVS DOS binaries can be found on various FTP servers.

Update 2026.10.09

There are CVS binaries, source code and documentation in DJ Delorie's GNU tools archive. I was curious enough to search for CVS hosting option as well. Thanks to wikipedia article Comparison of source-code-hosting facilities, I have discovered that following still support CVS:

• GForge
• GNU Savannah
• Ourproject.org
• SEUL.org

They are all free for free and open-source projects. 

How to update Tiny Core Linux from version 17.0 to 17.1

I am running only the Core base system, so these instructions cover only that.

1. First, run getMirror. This will populate $MIRROR system variable. 
   
   
2. Now, you have to update optional kernel modules, if you have any - I don't:
   cd /etc/sysconfig/tcedir/optional
   for File in *\-6.18.2\-*.tcz*; do wget $MIRROR/${File/\-6.18.2\-/\-6.18.35\-}; done
   
   
3. Download updated vmlinuz and core.gz files from:
   http://www.tinycorelinux.net/17.x/x86/release/distribution_files/
   
   Replace with them existing files in the boot directory. In my case, it is:
   /mnt/sda3/tce/boot
   
   
4. Reboot the system and that's it!